Now that Thanksgiving has passed, y’all can go ahead and go ape with the Christmas decorations and music. That’s always a fun debate, trying to decide how early is too early for Christmas stuff. It also means we’re heading into the stretch run of NFL games. The entire NFC South is under .500. The entire AFC East is above .500. Let’s see what we can decipher about week 13.

Buffalo at New England (Thur) – Massive game for sorting out that tough AFC East. Talking heads are worried about Buffalo with Vonn Miller out with an injury. New England’s offense has been an issue all year, but they seemed to get well in Minnesota. But another trend is Josh Allen, 4-1 in his last 5 games against New England. Buffalo, NC 28, Patriots 24

Cleveland at Houston – Watson makes his very delayed debut for the Browns, against the team he willingly sat on the bench for a year so he wouldn’t have to play for them. Should be a very hostile crowd. But if you focus on the play on the field, there’s little evidence that Houston will avoid losing at least 14 games, even with that tie from opening day. Talent level is still the most important factor. Browns 27, Texans 14

Denver at Baltimore – Ownership still backs Hackett, but this hasn’t worked much better than Urban Meyer at Jacksonville last year. Some arguing on the bench was observed last week. I have the Ravens defense on my fantasy team. I expect this to be the highest-scoring defense of the year. Ravens 20, Donkeys 9

Green Bay at Chicago – Rodgers is playing hurt, and not doing very well. But he has beaten the Bears more than any other team. Fields may or may not play, but it probably doesn’t matter. Packers 30, Bears 16

Jacksonville at Detroit – Both squads will head into the offseason feeling optimistic after showing much improvement this year, particularly on offense. Feels like a track meet. Lions 30, Jags 27

NY Jets at Minnesota – Mike White starts at QB, and the NY offense instantly looks better. Minnesota looked better in every aspect after being demolished by Dallas. And again, that horn. Norwegians 23, J-E-T-S jets jets jets jets jets jets jets jets jets jets 16

Pittsburgh at Atlanta – I have to guard against picking with my heart here. Another Atlanta loss and a Saints win over Tampa leaves my idle Panthers ½ game out of first. The last couple of times things got this tight, the team in front of my guys managed to get a win. Probably happens here too. Falcons 20, Steelers 17

Tennessee at Philadelphia – I’m still trying to figure out how Philly managed to lose a game. They might give up a bunch of yards to Derrick Henry but won’t give much to the passing game. Eagles 24, Titans 13

Washington at NY Giants – Do you remember when Washington was 1-4? Neither do I, but they really were. They’re 6-1 since then and are in playoff contention. NY has fallen on some hard times. Trends keep on going. Commanders 24, Giants 17

Miami at San Francisco – Here’s a juicy matchup. SF is firing on all cylinders with Run CMC and a stingy defense. Tyreek Hill is trying to set a record for most yards receiving in 1 season. Slight edge to the home team. 49ers 27, Fish 24

Seattle at LA Rams – It’s much easier to list the key Rams players that haven’t been injured. They fight hard, but just don’t have enough healthy bodies. Seahawks 23, Rams 10

Kansas City at Cincinnati – Another very juicy matchup of powerful offenses. JaMarr Chase returns, making a track meet even more likely. KC looks to avenge the AFC title game loss. Chiefs 38, Bengals 30

LA Chargers at Las Vegas – I’m sticking with my prediction that McDaniels is one-and-done and will be the offensive coordinator for the Patriots next year. Mike Williams is expected back for LA, which could be the difference. Clippers 34, Fakers 30

Indianapolis at Dallas – Would be the Who Cares Game of the Week if it weren’t the Sunday night game. Should be the day’s biggest yawner. Cowboys 38, Colts 14

New Orleans at Tampa Bay (Mon) – If nothing else, we know that New Orleans needs a QB. They have done well against Tampa while Brady’s been there. However, that wonderful Panthers scenario won’t play out in this game as well as the Atlanta game. Bucs 20, Aints 13

Last week’s record: 10-6

Season: 102-78-1

Bye: Arizona, Carolina